Made by Evan Ward
Share feedback

Use cases:

  • Generate precise inputs that better match your intuitions for probabilistic modeling software like Guesstimate.
  • Estimate a point estimate better by drawing your intuition of its probability distribution, and then use the expected value.
  • Quickly generate and share the probability distribution you have in mind—no complicated math functions required.
Generate a Variable from a Confidence Interval:
.8   .9   .95  
.99   1.0  

Your Random Variable
Draw on the graph to update it.

Your random variable.
Export Variable
Note: Sampling algorithm is currently very imprecise and needs debugging.


Leave feedback
What are your thoughts about this? All fields are optional.