Use cases:

  • Quickly generate and share the subjective probability distributions you have in mind—no math functions required.
  • Generate precise inputs that closely match your intuitions for Monte Carlo simulation software like Guesstimate.
  • Estimate a point estimate better by drawing your intuition of its probability distribution and using the expected value.

Generate a Variable from a Confidence Interval:
  
  
  
.8   .9  
.95   .99   1.0  
       


  


Optional:
  
  
  
  
  
  


Your Random Variable

Draw on the graph to update it.
Additional commands:
w:←      a:↑      s:↓      d:→     
An HTML canvas is supposesed to be here :(. Perhaps Javascript is disabled?

Export Variable

  
  
  

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