Made by Evan Ward
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Use cases:

  • Generate precise inputs that better match your intuitions for probabilistic modeling software like Guesstimate.
  • Estimate a point estimate better by drawing your intuition of its probability distribution, and then use the expected value.
  • Quickly generate and share the probability distribution you have in mind—no complicated math functions required.
Generate a Variable from a Confidence Interval:
  
  
  
.8   .9   .95  
.99   1.0  
       


  
Your Random Variable
Draw on the graph to update it.

Your random variable.
Export Variable
  
  
  
Note: Sampling algorithm is currently very imprecise and needs debugging.

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